GALM Economic scenarios

Calibrated economic scenarios for your market

High-quality, validated economic scenario sets — fitted to historical market data, jointly consistent across the factor set, and documented end to end (real-world). Start from a residual diagnostic on the site, or talk to us about a full scenario pack for your book.

What you get

Scenario pack

Multiyear paths, written methodology, and a validation scorecard on the calibration — ready for ALM, funding, and committee review.

Advisory calibration

Fixed-fee engagement for your economy and use case; refresh cycles as the data ages.

Ongoing monitoring

Notice when continuous monitoring of production model specifications becomes available.

Coverage

Scenario packs are built for the client economy. Asset classes include:

Interest rates

Short end through long government tenors

Equities

Market and large-cap indices as the book requires

Inflation

Headline CPI or the local analogue

Property

Real-estate indices and price series

Foreign exchange

Multi-currency and dollar-linked exposures

Credit

Corporate and government credit spreads

How a pack is built

From historical market data to documented stochastic paths for asset–liability and actuarial use.

1
Data

Historical return series and portfolio specifications.

2
Calibration

Model selection and joint dependence across the asset set.

3
Validation

Residual and dependence structure checked and addressed.

4
Delivery

Scenario files delivered via FTP, with methodology and validation report.